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26 Sep · 02:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
LBLukasz Bernacki
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1469
3-1Final setsBernacki won
OSOskar Sokolowski
🇵🇱Oskar Sokolowski
ELO 1372
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Bernacki at 60%. The actual result was Lukasz Bernacki 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lukasz Bernacki favoured — closing 1.57
Favourite won
Set handicap
Lukasz Bernacki −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Lukasz Bernacki −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukasz Bernacki is favoured to win, below means Oskar Sokolowski.

▲ Lukasz Bernackipre 64% → final 100%
Oskar Sokolowski ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsBernacki recovered from 39%70 points · 4 games