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26 Sep · 03:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
IDIgor Dabrowski
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1474
3-2Final setsDabrowski won
TPTadeusz Piotrowski
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1403
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Dabrowski at 55%. The actual result was Igor Dabrowski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tadeusz Piotrowski favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 73.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Igor Dabrowski is favoured to win, below means Tadeusz Piotrowski.

▲ Igor Dabrowskipre 52% → final 98%
Tadeusz Piotrowski ▼
Biggest swing 71 ptsDabrowski recovered from 27%72 points · 5 games