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26 Sep · 03:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JOJan Orszulik
🇵🇱Jan Orszulik
ELO 1520
3-1Final setsOrszulik won
JBJaroslaw Badura
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Badura
ELO 1509
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Badura at 54%. The actual result was Jan Orszulik 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jan Orszulik favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 73.5
68 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jan Orszulik −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jan Orszulik −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.55
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jan Orszulik is favoured to win, below means Jaroslaw Badura.

▲ Jan Orszulikpre 49% → final 99%
Jaroslaw Badura ▼
Biggest swing 53 pts66 points · 4 games