26 Sept · 07:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1401
FormLWLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Mecik
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1280
FormWLLLL
63%
37%
🌟Adach stays under total as underdog 88% (16)
Fair odds · Mecik
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+121
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)