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26 Sep · 04:25 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DKDawid Kosmal
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1588
3-1Final setsKosmal won
TPTadeusz Piotrowski
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1403
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kosmal at 68%. The actual result was Dawid Kosmal 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dawid Kosmal favoured — closing 1.27
Favourite won
Total 71.5
63 points played
Under
Set handicap
Dawid Kosmal −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Dawid Kosmal −8.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
2.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Kosmal is favoured to win, below means Tadeusz Piotrowski.

▲ Dawid Kosmalpre 73% → final 100%
Tadeusz Piotrowski ▼
Biggest swing 31 pts62 points · 4 games