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26 Sep · 05:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MMMateusz Misiak
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1413
3-0Final setsMisiak won
DWDariusz Wrobel
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1368
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Misiak at 56%. The actual result was Mateusz Misiak 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Misiak favoured — closing 1.55
Favourite won
Total 74.5
53 points played
Under
Set handicap
Misiak −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Misiak −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Misiak is favoured to win, below means Dariusz Wrobel.

▲ Mateusz Misiakpre 53% → final 100%
Dariusz Wrobel ▼
Biggest swing 54 pts52 points · 3 games