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26 Sep · 05:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MAMariusz Adamus
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1472
3-2Final setsAdamus won
TLTomasz Lojtek
🇵🇱Tomasz Lojtek
ELO 1338
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Adamus at 63%. The actual result was Mariusz Adamus 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Adamus favoured — closing 1.5
Favourite won
Total 74.5
110 points played
Over
Set handicap
Adamus −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Adamus −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.55
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Adamus is favoured to win, below means Tomasz Lojtek.

▲ Mariusz Adamuspre 67% → final 96%
Tomasz Lojtek ▼
Biggest swing 74 ptsAdamus recovered from 22%72 points · 5 games