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26 Sep · 06:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MMMateusz Misiak
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1413
3-1Final setsMisiak won
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1356
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Misiak at 55%. The actual result was Mateusz Misiak 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Misiak favoured — closing 1.35
Favourite won
Total 72.5
65 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mateusz Misiak −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mateusz Misiak −7.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
2.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Misiak is favoured to win, below means Jaroslaw Rolak.

▲ Mateusz Misiakpre 59% → final 100%
Jaroslaw Rolak ▼
Biggest swing 46 pts64 points · 4 games