26 Sept · 09:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1435
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Mleczko
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1399
FormLLLLL
54%
46%
🌟Mleczko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (24)
Fair odds · Mleczko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+36
H2H8-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.