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26 Sep · 07:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MMMateusz Misiak
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1410
3-1Final setsMisiak won
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1332
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Misiak at 60%. The actual result was Mateusz Misiak 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Misiak favoured — closing 1.47
Favourite won
Total 75.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mateusz Misiak −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mateusz Misiak −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Misiak is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Wisniewski.

▲ Mateusz Misiakpre 57% → final 96%
Bartlomiej Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsMisiak recovered from 38%72 points · 4 games