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26 Sep · 08:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1343
1-3Final setsWrobel won
DWDariusz Wrobel
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1365
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wrobel at 50%. The actual result was Dariusz Wrobel 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dariusz Wrobel favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 75.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Dariusz Wrobel −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Dariusz Wrobel −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslaw Rolak is favoured to win, below means Dariusz Wrobel.

▲ Jaroslaw Rolakpre 54% → final 11%
Dariusz Wrobel ▼
Biggest swing 52 pts72 points · 4 games