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26 Sep · 09:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1332
3-0Final setsWisniewski won
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1343
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rolak at 54%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Wisniewski 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jaroslaw Rolak favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 76.5
59 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jaroslaw Rolak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jaroslaw Rolak −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
7.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Wisniewski is favoured to win, below means Jaroslaw Rolak.

▲ Bartlomiej Wisniewskipre 49% → final 10%
Jaroslaw Rolak ▼
Biggest swing 50 pts72 points · 4 games