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26 Sep · 09:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KGKrzysztof Guminski
🇵🇱Krzysztof Guminski
ELO 1325
0-3Final setsSzoltysek won
ASArtur Szoltysek
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1339
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szoltysek at 50%. The actual result was Artur Szoltysek 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krzysztof Guminski favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 75.5
49 points played
Under
Set handicap
Krzysztof Guminski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Krzysztof Guminski −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Guminski is favoured to win, below means Artur Szoltysek.

▲ Krzysztof Guminskipre 46% → final 0%
Artur Szoltysek ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsSzoltysek recovered from 35%48 points · 3 games