26 Sept · 13:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KG
🇵🇱Krzysztof Guminski
ELO 1318
FormLLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Misiak
MM
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1410
FormLWWWW
40%
60%
🌟Misiak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (12)
Fair odds · Misiak
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+92
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)