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26 Sep · 10:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DKDawid Kosmal
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1618
3-0Final setsKosmal won
IDIgor Dabrowski
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1453
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kosmal at 66%. The actual result was Dawid Kosmal 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dawid Kosmal favoured — closing 1.25
Favourite won
Total 71.5
55 points played
Under
Set handicap
Dawid Kosmal −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Dawid Kosmal −8.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
3.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Kosmal is favoured to win, below means Igor Dabrowski.

▲ Dawid Kosmalpre 71% → final 97%
Igor Dabrowski ▼
Biggest swing 33 pts58 points · 3 games