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26 Sep · 10:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1332
3-1Final setsWisniewski won
JPJacek Przewlocki
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1344
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Przewlocki at 53%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Wisniewski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jacek Przewlocki favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 75.5
85 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jacek Przewlocki −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jacek Przewlocki −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.95
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Wisniewski is favoured to win, below means Jacek Przewlocki.

▲ Bartlomiej Wisniewskipre 43% → final 4%
Jacek Przewlocki ▼
Biggest swing 49 pts61 points · 3 games