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26 Sep · 10:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
ZSZbigniew Sobkow
🇵🇱Zbigniew Sobkow
ELO 1476
2-3Final setsSzostok won
SSSebastian Szostok
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1570
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szostok at 52%. The actual result was Sebastian Szostok 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Sebastian Szostok favoured — closing 1.55
Favourite won
Total 79.5
88 points played
Over
Set handicap
Sebastian Szostok −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Sebastian Szostok −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Zbigniew Sobkow is favoured to win, below means Sebastian Szostok.

▲ Zbigniew Sobkowpre 51% → final 5%
Sebastian Szostok ▼
Biggest swing 77 ptsSzostok recovered from 18%72 points · 5 games