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26 Sep · 10:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JWJacek Wieczerzak
🇵🇱Jacek Wieczerzak
ELO 1574
2-3Final setsBuczynski won
WBWitold Buczynski
🇵🇱Witold Buczynski
ELO 1406
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wieczerzak at 71%. The actual result was Witold Buczynski 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wieczerzak favoured — closing 1.45
Upset
Total 73.5
87 points played
Over
Set handicap
Wieczerzak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Wieczerzak −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jacek Wieczerzak is favoured to win, below means Witold Buczynski.

▲ Jacek Wieczerzakpre 76% → final 3%
Witold Buczynski ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsBuczynski recovered from 24%72 points · 5 games