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26 Sep · 11:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DMDaniel Morawiec
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1490
2-3Final setsGamrot won
PGPatryk Gamrot
🇵🇱Patryk Gamrot
ELO 1471
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Morawiec at 56%. The actual result was Patryk Gamrot 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Morawiec favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 79.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
Morawiec −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Morawiec −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Daniel Morawiec is favoured to win, below means Patryk Gamrot.

▲ Daniel Morawiecpre 60% → final 52%
Patryk Gamrot ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsMorawiec recovered from 35%72 points · 5 games