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26 Sep · 11:25 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JPJacek Przewlocki
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1350
3-1Final setsPrzewlocki won
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1337
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Przewlocki at 50%. The actual result was Jacek Przewlocki 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rolak favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 75.5
75 points played
Under
Set handicap
Rolak −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Rolak −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jacek Przewlocki is favoured to win, below means Jaroslaw Rolak.

▲ Jacek Przewlockipre 54% → final 77%
Jaroslaw Rolak ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsPrzewlocki recovered from 30%72 points · 5 games