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26 Sep · 12:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JWJacek Wieczerzak
🇵🇱Jacek Wieczerzak
ELO 1574
1-3Final setsMorawiec won
DMDaniel Morawiec
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1490
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wieczerzak at 61%. The actual result was Daniel Morawiec 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jacek Wieczerzak favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Total 73.5
72 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jacek Wieczerzak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jacek Wieczerzak −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jacek Wieczerzak is favoured to win, below means Daniel Morawiec.

▲ Jacek Wieczerzakpre 65% → final 100%
Daniel Morawiec ▼
Biggest swing 54 pts57 points · 3 games