26 Sept · 18:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DK
🇵🇱Daniel Kostal
ELO 1527
FormWLLLL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Kuzmicz
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1776
FormLWWLW
25%
75%
Fair odds · Kuzmicz
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~73 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+249
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+249)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)