26 Sept · 15:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1608
FormLWWWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Kosmal
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1467
FormWWWWW
65%
35%
Fair odds · Kosmal
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+141
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)