26 Sept · 17:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DK
🇵🇱Daniel Kostal
ELO 1527
FormWLLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Kolek
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1634
FormLWWLW
38%
62%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kostal
Fair odds · Kolek
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)