26 Sept · 14:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1350
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Przewlocki
KG
🇵🇱Krzysztof Guminski
ELO 1319
FormLWLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 45% · 2.21· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+31
H2H5-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.