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26 Sep · 12:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
SSSebastian Szostok
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1580
3-0Final setsSzostok won
ZSZbigniew Sobkow
🇵🇱Zbigniew Sobkow
ELO 1464
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szostok at 61%. The actual result was Sebastian Szostok 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Sebastian Szostok favoured — closing 1.57
Favourite won
Total 75.5
47 points played
Under
Set handicap
Sebastian Szostok −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Sebastian Szostok −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Sebastian Szostok is favoured to win, below means Zbigniew Sobkow.

▲ Sebastian Szostokpre 58% → final 96%
Zbigniew Sobkow ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsSzostok recovered from 24%72 points · 5 games