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26 Sep · 16:35 UTC · Retired⤺ Retired · not graded
KKKacper Kwiatkowski
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1464
0-0Final setsSzurgot won
ASAndrzej Szurgot
🇵🇱Andrzej Szurgot
ELO 1252
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kwiatkowski at 75%. The actual result was Andrzej Szurgot 0-0 — the match ended early (retirement or walkover), so it is not counted in the track record.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kacper Kwiatkowski favoured — closing 1.35
Upset
Set handicap
Kacper Kwiatkowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kacper Kwiatkowski is favoured to win, below means Andrzej Szurgot.

▲ Kacper Kwiatkowskipre 80% → final 4%
Andrzej Szurgot ▼
Biggest swing 79 ptsSzurgot recovered from 20%72 points · 5 games