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26 Sep · 13:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DMDaniel Morawiec
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1493
3-2Final setsMorawiec won
WBWitold Buczynski
🇵🇱Witold Buczynski
ELO 1403
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Morawiec at 59%. The actual result was Daniel Morawiec 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Daniel Morawiec favoured — closing 1.57
Favourite won
Total 75.5
98 points played
Over
Set handicap
Daniel Morawiec −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Daniel Morawiec −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Daniel Morawiec is favoured to win, below means Witold Buczynski.

▲ Daniel Morawiecpre 63% → final 13%
Witold Buczynski ▼
Biggest swing 76 ptsBuczynski recovered from 15%72 points · 4 games