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26 Sep · 13:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JWJacek Wieczerzak
🇵🇱Jacek Wieczerzak
ELO 1569
2-3Final setsGamrot won
PGPatryk Gamrot
🇵🇱Patryk Gamrot
ELO 1486
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wieczerzak at 61%. The actual result was Patryk Gamrot 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jacek Wieczerzak favoured — closing 1.4
Upset
Total 73.5
104 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jacek Wieczerzak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jacek Wieczerzak −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jacek Wieczerzak is favoured to win, below means Patryk Gamrot.

▲ Jacek Wieczerzakpre 58% → final 81%
Patryk Gamrot ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsWieczerzak recovered from 33%72 points · 4 games