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← TT Elite Series predictions
26 Sep · 13:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
IDIgor Dabrowski
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1452
3-1Final setsDabrowski won
BMBartlomiej Mleczko
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1451
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mleczko at 53%. The actual result was Igor Dabrowski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartlomiej Mleczko favoured — closing 1.27
Upset
Total 71.5
72 points played
Over
Set handicap
Bartlomiej Mleczko −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Bartlomiej Mleczko −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
8.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Igor Dabrowski is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Mleczko.

▲ Igor Dabrowskipre 43% → final 5%
Bartlomiej Mleczko ▼
Biggest swing 90 ptsMleczko recovered from 8%72 points · 5 games