26 Sept · 19:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1783
FormWWLWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Kuzmicz
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1639
FormWWLWW
65%
35%
Fair odds · Kuzmicz
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+144
H2H27-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+144)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-12)