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26 Sep · 16:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JMJerzy Michalik
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1475
3-2Final setsMichalik won
JSJanus Slawomir
🇵🇱Janus Slawomir
ELO 1517
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Slawomir at 56%. The actual result was Jerzy Michalik 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Janus Slawomir favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 74.5
85 points played
Over
Set handicap
Janus Slawomir −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Janus Slawomir −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.95
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jerzy Michalik is favoured to win, below means Janus Slawomir.

▲ Jerzy Michalikpre 47% → final 99%
Janus Slawomir ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsMichalik recovered from 40%72 points · 5 games