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26 Sep · 14:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
SSSebastian Szostok
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1577
1-3Final setsWieczerzak won
JWJacek Wieczerzak
🇵🇱Jacek Wieczerzak
ELO 1569
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szostok at 51%. The actual result was Jacek Wieczerzak 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jacek Wieczerzak favoured — closing 1.42
Favourite won
Total 75.5
69 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jacek Wieczerzak −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jacek Wieczerzak −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Sebastian Szostok is favoured to win, below means Jacek Wieczerzak.

▲ Sebastian Szostokpre 55% → final 100%
Jacek Wieczerzak ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsSzostok recovered from 42%68 points · 4 games