26 Sept · 18:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1478
FormWLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Gesiarz
KM
🇵🇱Krzysztof Malcher
ELO 1407
FormLWLLL
58%
42%
🌟Gesiarz stays under total as favourite 64% (47)
Fair odds · Gesiarz
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 53% · 1.88· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+71
H2H4-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)