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26 Sep · 14:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1342
3-1Final setsWisniewski won
MMMateusz Misiak
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1403
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Misiak at 58%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Wisniewski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Misiak favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Total 75.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mateusz Misiak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mateusz Misiak −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Wisniewski is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Misiak.

▲ Bartlomiej Wisniewskipre 45% → final 4%
Mateusz Misiak ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsMisiak recovered from 36%72 points · 4 games