26 Sept · 20:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇵🇱Daniel Kostal
ELO 1523
FormLLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Wos
AW
🇵🇱Alan Wos
ELO 1575
FormLLLWL
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kostal
Fair odds · Wos
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+52
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)