26 Sept · 20:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1464
FormLLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kwiatkowski
KM
🇵🇱Krzysztof Malcher
ELO 1407
FormLWLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Kwiatkowski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+57
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)