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26 Sep · 15:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
SSSebastian Szostok
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1577
3-1Final setsSzostok won
DMDaniel Morawiec
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1493
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szostok at 59%. The actual result was Sebastian Szostok 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Sebastian Szostok favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 76.5
102 points played
Over
Set handicap
Sebastian Szostok −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Sebastian Szostok −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Sebastian Szostok is favoured to win, below means Daniel Morawiec.

▲ Sebastian Szostokpre 56% → final 91%
Daniel Morawiec ▼
Biggest swing 75 ptsSzostok recovered from 16%72 points · 4 games