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26 Sep · 16:25 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
CPCezary Pawlik
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1680
3-0Final setsPawlik won
MMMichal Machelski
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1378
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pawlik at 79%. The actual result was Cezary Pawlik 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pawlik favoured — closing 1.18
Favourite won
Total 71.5
50 points played
Under
Set handicap
Pawlik −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Pawlik −8.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
2.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Cezary Pawlik is favoured to win, below means Michal Machelski.

▲ Cezary Pawlikpre 83% → final 100%
Michal Machelski ▼
Biggest swing 28 pts48 points · 3 games