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← TT Elite Series predictions
26 Sep · 16:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DKDawid Kotwica
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1366
3-1Final setsKotwica won
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1393
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poloszczanski at 56%. The actual result was Dawid Kotwica 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Poloszczanski favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 79.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Poloszczanski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Poloszczanski −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Kotwica is favoured to win, below means Dawid Poloszczanski.

▲ Dawid Kotwicapre 47% → final 97%
Dawid Poloszczanski ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsKotwica recovered from 39%72 points · 4 games