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26 Sep · 17:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1393
0-3Final setsGuminski won
KGKrzysztof Guminski
🇵🇱Krzysztof Guminski
ELO 1334
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Guminski at 54%. The actual result was Krzysztof Guminski 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Guminski favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 74.5
55 points played
Under
Set handicap
Guminski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Guminski −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Poloszczanski is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Guminski.

▲ Dawid Poloszczanskipre 42% → final 4%
Krzysztof Guminski ▼
Biggest swing 52 pts55 points · 3 games