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26 Sep · 18:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1403
3-1Final setsPoloszczanski won
JGJakub Glanowski
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1429
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poloszczanski at 53%. The actual result was Dawid Poloszczanski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Glanowski favoured — closing 1.5
Upset
Total 79.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jakub Glanowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jakub Glanowski −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
6.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Poloszczanski is favoured to win, below means Jakub Glanowski.

▲ Dawid Poloszczanskipre 57% → final 96%
Jakub Glanowski ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsPoloszczanski recovered from 32%71 points · 4 games