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26 Sep · 18:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MMMichal Machelski
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1372
0-3Final setsMucha won
GMGrzegorz Mucha
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1509
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mucha at 64%. The actual result was Grzegorz Mucha 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Mucha favoured — closing 1.42
Favourite won
Total 74.5
63 points played
Under
Set handicap
Grzegorz Mucha −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Grzegorz Mucha −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Machelski is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Mucha.

▲ Michal Machelskipre 31% → final 3%
Grzegorz Mucha ▼
Biggest swing 38 pts62 points · 3 games