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DeuceLab
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26 Sep · 19:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
LBLukasz Bernacki
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1465
1-3Final setsMichalski won
JMJakub Michalski
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1283
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Bernacki at 71%. The actual result was Jakub Michalski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lukasz Bernacki favoured — closing 1.27
Upset
Total 72.5
75 points played
Over
Set handicap
Lukasz Bernacki −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Lukasz Bernacki −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukasz Bernacki is favoured to win, below means Jakub Michalski.

▲ Lukasz Bernackipre 76% → final 1%
Jakub Michalski ▼
Biggest swing 95 ptsMichalski recovered from 5%72 points · 4 games