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26 Sep · 19:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DFDamian Fira
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1412
3-1Final setsFira won
JMJakub Michalski
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1279
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Fira at 64%. The actual result was Damian Fira 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Damian Fira favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 75.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Damian Fira −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Damian Fira −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Damian Fira is favoured to win, below means Jakub Michalski.

▲ Damian Firapre 69% → final 83%
Jakub Michalski ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsFira recovered from 39%72 points · 4 games