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26 Sep · 20:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
CPCezary Pawlik
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1666
3-2Final setsPawlik won
AZArtur Zmijewski
🇵🇱Artur Zmijewski
ELO 1587
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pawlik at 54%. The actual result was Cezary Pawlik 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Cezary Pawlik favoured — closing 1.52
Favourite won
Total 74.5
100 points played
Over
Set handicap
Cezary Pawlik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Cezary Pawlik −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Cezary Pawlik is favoured to win, below means Artur Zmijewski.

▲ Cezary Pawlikpre 58% → final 100%
Artur Zmijewski ▼
Biggest swing 83 ptsPawlik recovered from 17%72 points · 5 games