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26 Sep · 22:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
CPCezary Pawlik
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1661
3-1Final setsPawlik won
JOJacek Oracz
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1691
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Oracz at 53%. The actual result was Cezary Pawlik 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jacek Oracz favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 77.5
74 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jacek Oracz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jacek Oracz −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Cezary Pawlik is favoured to win, below means Jacek Oracz.

▲ Cezary Pawlikpre 50% → final 89%
Jacek Oracz ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsPawlik recovered from 37%72 points · 5 games