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26 Sep · 22:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1381
2-3Final setsGlanowski won
JGJakub Glanowski
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1447
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poloszczanski at 54%. The actual result was Jakub Glanowski 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Glanowski favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 77.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jakub Glanowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jakub Glanowski −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Poloszczanski is favoured to win, below means Jakub Glanowski.

▲ Dawid Poloszczanskipre 58% → final 96%
Jakub Glanowski ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsPoloszczanski recovered from 33%71 points · 4 games