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26 Sep · 23:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GMGrzegorz Mucha
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1507
2-3Final setsZmijewski won
AZArtur Zmijewski
🇵🇱Artur Zmijewski
ELO 1596
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zmijewski at 63%. The actual result was Artur Zmijewski 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Artur Zmijewski favoured — closing 1.45
Favourite won
Total 75.5
99 points played
Over
Set handicap
Artur Zmijewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Artur Zmijewski −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Mucha is favoured to win, below means Artur Zmijewski.

▲ Grzegorz Muchapre 39% → final 93%
Artur Zmijewski ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsMucha recovered from 29%72 points · 4 games