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26 Sep · 23:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MMMichal Machelski
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1404
3-2Final setsMachelski won
JOJacek Oracz
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1691
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Oracz at 81%. The actual result was Michal Machelski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jacek Oracz favoured — closing 1.1
Upset
Total 66.5
95 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jacek Oracz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jacek Oracz −11.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
11.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Machelski is favoured to win, below means Jacek Oracz.

▲ Michal Machelskipre 19% → final 84%
Jacek Oracz ▼
Biggest swing 75 ptsMachelski recovered from 19%72 points · 5 games